Week 13: 10-6, 3-1 on recommended picks
Overall: 116-69-1 (63%), 37-14-1 on recommended picks (72%)
It was an OK week – pretty much falling into line with my season averages. In terms of recommended picks, clearly I went too far out on a limb with Cleveland over the “what’s gotten into them, especially on the road” Jaguars – but my Dallas play as the top recommmended pick came up golden (though not for Eagles fans).
I do limit myself to once per team as a top recommended pick and 4 times per team overall, so this is the time of year when it might begin to get easier picking games, but going to the same well over and over doesn’t work.
I’m done with Seattle, Denver and Green Bay already.
There is one team that I have picked 3 times in the “undercard,” but somehow have not turned to them as a top pick yet. It’s too good to pass up.
Who are they? Just scroll down a bit more to find out, and also to check in on my other picks.
1. Patriots over Browns
Not only is New Engalnd a double-digit favorite and undefeated at home – they have not yet been my top recommended pick this season.
This is a great time to tab them for that honor.
Oh yeah – Dallas is also a better team than Oakland.
2. Ravens over Vikings
While Minnesota has improved its play of late, I think the Ravens are surging just in time to get an AFC wildcard and an opportunity to defend their Super Bowl title in January.
3. Cardinals over Rams
Arizona wasn’t bad last week in their road loss to the Eagles – they simply weren’t good enough.
I like the Cards to bounce back and stay in the NFC wildcard race – the fact they are 5-1 at home helps solidify this pick.
Just be aware that Arizona is one of only 3 teams in the entire NFL (Tennessee and Washington are the others) to be winless in their division. With that being said, this is an important revenge game for the Cardinals’ opening week 27-24 loss in St. Louis, before their tougher tests against Seattle (week 15) and San Francisco (week 17).
4. Bengals over Colts
I found it hard to believe that I have not yet recommended the Bengals to win a game this season (one of only 4 teams with that dubious distinction, and the only one with a winning record).
While I sold Cincinnati short, they were compiling an 8-4 mark (5-0 at home) and the knock that they don’t beat good teams is simply untrue. The Bengals have beaten New England and Green Bay (with Aaron Rodgers) at home and also have won at Detroit and at Miami.
Yes, the Colts are also 8-4, but they are a mirage from a weak division. Indy is only 4-4 outside the AFC South and has a poor +11 point differential considering their +4 win record.
Other week 14 picks:
Texans over Jaguars
Packers over Falcons
Jets over Raiders
Eagles over Lions
Dolphins over Steelers
Buccaneers over Bills
Chiefs over Redskins
Broncos over Titans
Giants over Chargers
49ers over Seahawks
Saints over Panthers
Bears over Cowboys