MLB Preview: Perceptions and predictions
Our intrepid writers at PhillyPhanatics.com are at it again, trying to make predictions on something that often defies predicting: the order of finish in each Major League Baseball division, the would-be playoff teams and how they will fare in the postseason (along with major award winners).
Ron Opher, Eric Fisher and Josh Landsburg rarely strike out, but to expect a home run from any of them would be asking a lot. In that respect, they’re sort of like Ben Revere.
The divisional standings are Ron’s predictions. Josh’s order of finish will be in bold face. Eric’s will be in italics. Each writer will offer comments after each division.
Without further delay, here are our 2013 MLB predictions:
AL EAST
1. Tampa Bay Rays (2) (1)
2. Toronto Blue Jays (1) (2)
3. Baltimore Orioles (3) (3)
4. Boston Red Sox (4) (5)
5. New York Yankees (5) (4)
Ron on AL East: No, folks, you are not reading this upside-down. The Red Sox finally hit rock bottom last season. This year, it’s the injury-riddled Yankees’ turn. The Blue Jays are finally a legitimate contender again, while the overachieving Orioles may take a small step back. The Rays keep finding a way to stay at or near the top.
Josh: I don’t think last year was a fluke for the Orioles, but I see them falling to third place, simply because other teams around them got better. I have shocked myself by putting the Yankees in last place, but with all their injuries and age, I can’t put them any higher. The Red Sox are a mess as well, so the landscape of the AL East looks nothing like we have seen it in years. I think the Blue Jays win the division for the first time since they were winning World Series Championships in the early 90’s due to the fact that they fleeced the Marlins with all the players that they got without giving up a ton of players that will impact them this year. As Ron said, even though the Tampa Bay Rays lost James Shields, they still find a way to stay around the top of the division every year.
Eric: Like Ron and Josh, I don’t think the Orioles are quite as good as they appeared last season. At least they’re not any better. The bottom of the division is a tossup between two proud franchises that have fallen on hard times. Flip a coin. I was tempted to pick the Blue Jays to win the division, as Josh did, but they won 73 games last season. Getting to 95 is a huge jump. I’m picking the Rays to win the division, but I wouldn’t want to face Toronto in the playoffs.

AL CENTRAL
1. Detroit Tigers (1) (1)
2. Chicago White Sox (2) (3)
3. Cleveland Indians (4) (4)
4. Kansas City Royals (3) (2)
5. Minnesota Twins (5) (5)
Ron on AL Central: I missed the boat on the White Sox last year, though in the end they ran out of gas at the finish line. Their fortunes this year may be tied to whether Chris Sale and Dayan Viciedo are rising stars or one-hit wonders. I think the loaded Tigers will win the Central by a greater margin this year – maybe even double-digits. The Indians signed some interesting players and should be improved under new manager Terry Francona, but to think they will contend for a playoff spot is asking too much – especially after dealing Shin-Soo Choo for prospects. The Royals are due for a jump up in the standings, yet their lineup always seems to outpace their pitching, even with the newly acquired James Shields in the fold. As for the Twins … check back with me in 2015.
Josh: I like the youth of the Kansas City Royals and the acquisition of James Shields, so I am bumping them all the way up to third place. As for the Tigers, they are truly the class of this division and the White Sox have enough talent to remain in the No. 2 spot.
Eric: We all agree that the Tigers, with ace Justin Verlander (pictured above) are far and away the class of this division. I like the Royals’ rotation, but I like their bullpen even more. I think they jump up to second place in a close battle with the White Sox and Indians. With no disrespect intended toward Vance Worley, if he’s at or near the top of the rotation, as he is with the Twins, that spells t-r-o-u-b-l-e.

AL WEST
1. L.A. Angels of Anaheim (1) (1)
2. Oakland Athletics (2) (2)
3. Texas Rangers (3) (3)
4. Seattle Mariners (4) (4)
5. Houston Astros (5) (5)
Ron on AL West: If there is a sure thing in this division, it’’s that the Astros will finish last. Welcome to the American League, Houston. The Angels loaded up last year and still fell embarrassingly short of the postseason. This year, they stole another top player from Texas, following the C.J. Wilson signing last year by nabbing Josh Hamilton. Says here that the balance of power will finally shift in the West, while Oakland remains a low-budget force and Seattle looks to follow in Toronto’s footsteps in terms of moving toward contention.
Josh: I see both wild cards coming from the AL West: the Athletics and Rangers. Even with the loss of Josh Hamilton, the Rangers have great pitching and they always find a way to stay in it and make the playoffs, even when they lose players.
Eric: I agree the Angels will bounce back after missing the playoffs last season. Josh Hamilton may never put up numbers like he did in Texas, but his presence makes the Angels’ lineup even more dangerous. And how good is Mike Trout (pictured above)? I don’t see a sophomore slump for Trout. I don’t think the A’s are a one-year wonder. If anything, I think they’ll be better this season. The poor Astros may have been dumped into the best division in baseball.
Ron’s AL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Blue Jays, Athletics
ALDS: Tigers over Athletics, Angels over Rays
ALCS: Angels over Tigers
MVP: Jose Bautista, Blue Jays
Cy Young: Felix Hernandez, Mariners
Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers, Rays
Josh’s AL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Athletics, Rangers
ALDS: Tigers over Rangers, Angels over Blue Jays
ALCS: Angels over Tigers
MVP: Mike Trout, Angels (He follows the same path as Cal Ripken, Jr. and Ryan Howard, winning Rookie of the Year and MVP in his first two seasons, becoming only the third player in MLB history to do that.
Cy Young: Josh Johnson, Blue Jays (He finally has an injury free season and pitches great)
Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers, Rays
Eric’s AL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Athletics, Blue Jays
ALDS: Tigers over Rays, Blue Jays over Angels
ALCS: Tigers over Blue Jays
MVP: Jose Bautista, Blue Jays
Cy Young: Justin Verlander, Tigers
Rookie of the Year: Wil Myers, Rays
NATIONAL LEAGUE
NL EAST
1. Washington Nationals (1) (1)
2. Philadelphia Phillies (3) (3)
3. Atlanta Braves (2) (2)
4. New York Mets (4) (4)
5. Miami Marlins (5) (5)
Ron on NL East: I’m holding my breath picking the Phillies ahead of the Braves. I like the Phillies’ rotation better – assuming Roy Halladay is still good enough to be mentioned with Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee, as opposed to with Kyle Kendrick and John Lannan. There is no picking against Washington, the most talented team in the NL, if not in all of MLB. The Braves do have a bullpen the Nats could envy, but pale in comparison otherwise – especially if Brian McCann’s shoulder injury keeps him out of action for an extended period. The Mets’ making noise would be a surprise, while the NL’s version of the Astros, the Miami Marlins, figure to bring up the rear.
Josh: With Stephen Strasburg pitching a full season, and the addition of Dan Haren, some bullpen additions and the experience from making the postseason last year, I do not see how Washington can be stopped unless they have some devastating injuries. The Braves have some holes, but I still like them to finish in 2nd place, slightly ahead of the Phillies. As much as I want to believe in the Phillies, I cannot. Other teams around them did too much, and they did not do enough to improve themselves, even with a full year of a healthy Ryan Howard and Chase Utley. Short of Kendrick having an All-Star year and Domonic Brown having an All-Star year, I see the Phillies missing the postseason for the 2nd straight year. Although, you never know. Ruben Amaro, Jr. might just have one more trick up his sleeve at the trade deadline.
Eric: We all agree that the Nationals are the class of the NL East, if not the National League. I like the top of the Phillies’ rotation better than the Braves’ rotation, but, from 1 to 5, I’ll take the Braves. The Phillies improved their bullpen, but it still might be third-best in the division, as is their rotation. Look at the Nationals’ outfield (Jayson Werth, Bryce Harper, Denard Span), the Braves’ outfield (Justin Upton, B.J. Upton, Jason Heyward) and the Phillies’ outfield (Domonic Brown, Ben Revere, Laynce Nix/John Maybbery Jr.). The Phillies’ outfield isn’t even in the same ballpark, if you’ll pardon the expression. It looks like third place for the Phillies.
NL CENTRAL
1. Cincinnati Reds (1) (1)
2. Pittsburgh Pirates (2) (3)
3. St. Louis Cardinals (3) (2)
4. Milwaukee Brewers (4) (4)
5. Chicago Cubs (5) (5)
Ron on NL Central: The Reds are the class of this division. Maybe not quite at the Nationals’ level, but not far off. The Cardinals always seem to make something out of very little, but the team that will finally not only end their streak of losing seasons, but actually contend is the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers still have a formidable offense, but their pitching continues to be suspect. The Cubs are rebuilding and are 2-3 years away from putting a winning team on the field.
Josh: I agree with Ron. The Reds will win the division, and the Pirates will finally break through with a winning season, but won’t earn a trip to the postseason yet. One step at a time. They will get over the .500 mark first, and then next season make the playoffs. The Cardinals will find a way to hang around as they always do, but they will come up short in third place.
Josh: I agree with Ron. The Reds will win the division, and the Pirates will finally break through with a winning season, but won’t earn a trip to the postseason yet. One step at a time. They will get over the .500 mark first, and then next season make the playoffs. The Cardinals will find a way to hang around as they always do, but they will come up short in third place.
Eric: We all have a similar takes on the NL Central. The only difference is I don’t think the Pirates or Brewers have good enough starting pitching to surpass the Cardinals. The Pirates have A.J. Burnett, Wandy Rodriguez and James McDonald at the top of their rotation. The Brewers signed Kyle Lohse recently because their rotation is so bad behind ace Yovani Gallardo. Look out for the Reds! Their lineup was already terrific with Joey Votto and Jay Bruce. The addition of Shin-Soo Choo will make it even better.
NL WEST
1. San Francisco Giants (1) (1)
2. Los Angeles Dodgers (2) (2)
3. Arizona Diamondbacks (3) (3)
4. San Diego Padres (4) (4)
5. Colorado Rockies (5) (5)
Ron on AL West: The Dodgers spent freely, but brought in a bunch of losers in Hanley Ramirez, Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez. On paper, L.A. looks great – but they play the games on the diamond. San Francisco has taken over from Philadelphia as the center of the baseball universe, with two World Championships in three years. Not that the Giants don’t have some holes on offense, but their pitching and defense still sets them apart. The D’Backs took a step back from the fray and dealt Justin Upton, the Padres will miss Chase Headley for a month with a broken thumb, and the Rockies had better hope that the oft-injured Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki stay healthy or they will challenge the Marlins, Cubs and Astros for the worst record in baseball.
Josh: I agree with Ron on the order of the NL West as well. Everyone always seems to underestimate the Giants, but the fact of the matter is that they have won the World Series two out of the last three years. The year they didn’t win was when Buster Posey was hurt the whole year, so you could make an argument that they would have won three years in a row if he were healthy.
Eric: Once again, we find agreement in the West. Like Ron, I feel the Dodgers don’t quite add to the sum of their parts. I’m not a big Hanley Ramirez or Carl Crawford fan. The Giants win with pitching (Matt Cain, above), with just enough offense added to the mix.
Ron’s NL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Pirates, Dodgers
NLDS: Giants over Reds, Nationals over Dodgers
NLCS: Nationals over Giants
World Series: Nationals over Angels
MVP: Andrew McCutchen, Pirates
Cy Young: Matt Cain, Giants
Rookie of the Year: (tie) Travis d’Arnaud, Mets, and Julio Teheran, Braves
Josh’s NL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Braves, Dodgers
NLDS: Giants over Reds, Nationals over Dodgers
NLCS: Nationals over Giants
MVP: Andrew McCutchen, Pirates
Cy Young: Cole Hamels, Phillies
Rookie of the Year: Julio Teheran, Braves
Eric’s NL playoffs and awards
Wild cards: Braves, Dodgers
NLDS: Reds over Braves, Giants over Nationals
NLCS: Reds over Giants
MVP: Joey Votto, Reds
Cy Young: Matt Cain, Giants
Rookie of the Year: Oscar Taveras, Cardinals
WORLD SERIES
Ron: Nationals over Angels
Josh: Nationals over Angels
Eric: Tigers over Reds





