Points by Ben Simmons during Game 3 victory over Nets

Putting it on the Line

Posted by Eric Fisher On December 6

Honesty is the best policy. That’s why I post my records, even when they’re not good, at the bottom of every “Putting it on the Line” article.

Honesty is also why I don’t change picks once they are posted – even if an injury occurs that could affect the outcome. It’s also why I don’t have “guarantees” or “locks of the year” (there should only be one of these each year) or other outrageous promises.

Last week I told you that there were only two games I felt particularly confident about: the Seahawks (-10) over the 49ers and the Texans (-6) over the Browns. I chose the Seahawks as my “best bet” and made the Texans one of my “other top picks.” As for the rest of the other top picks, I wrote, in all honesty,

I put three other games in my ‘other top picks’ to fulfill my ‘obligations.’” Not surprisingly, I was right about the Seahawks and Texans … and was wrong about just about everything else.

I have a better feeling about this week’s games. I’m going back to the Texans (-4½ over the Colts), making them my “best bet.” For my “other top picks,” I’m ignoring bad news about Kareem Hunt and Emmanuel Sanders while picking the Chiefs (-6½) over the visiting Ravens and the Broncos (-4) over the 49ers. I also like the Giants, who have won three of their past four games – and probably should have beaten the Eagles – as 3½-point favorites over the injury-riddled Redskins coming off a Monday night loss to the Eagles.

Speaking of the Eagles, I went back and forth on their game with the Cowboys. In the end, I envision the Eagles winning the game or losing by a field goal, but (and here comes some more honesty) I don’t have a strong feeling about it either way.

Here are my Week 14 selections:

(Home team in CAPS) 

(Winning team against the line in bold)

TITANS -4½ vs. Jaguars

CHIEFS -6½ vs. Ravens  

TEXANS -4½ vs. Colts

Panthers -1½ at BROWNS

Falcons +5 at PACKERS

BUCS +8 vs. Saints

BILLS -3½ vs. Jets

DOLPHINS +10 vs. Patriots

Rams -3 at BEARS

Giants -3½ at REDSKINS

Broncos -4 at 49ERS

CHARGERS -14 vs. Bengals

CARDINALS +3 vs. Lions

Eagles +3½ at COWBOYS

RAIDERS +10½ vs. Steelers

SEAHAWKS -3½ vs. Vikings

Best bet: TEXANS -4½ vs. Colts

Other top picks: CHIEFS -6½ vs. Ravens; Broncos -4 at 49ERS; Giants -3½ at REDSKINS; SEAHAWKS -3½ vs. Vikings

Last week: 5-11 (80-91-8 this season)

Best Bet: 1-0 (6-6 this season)

Other top picks: 1-3 (23-23-2 this season)

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