Points by Ben Simmons during Game 3 victory over Nets

Putting it on the Line

Posted by Eric Fisher On November 28

My Thanksgiving Day selections were turkeys. I went 0-3 on Thanksgiving, including my best bet and two of my other top picks. I pointed out that I liked the Redskins better when they opened as 9-point underdogs against the Cowboys, but I still liked them enough as 7-point underdogs to make them my best bet. Unfortunately, they lost by eight points, right between the two numbers.

Fortunately, I rallied late on Thanksgiving, winning two late afternoon games, the Sunday night game and the Monday night game. Despite the poor start, I ended up with a winning week.

There are some large spreads this week. The Chiefs are 15-point favorites on the road against the Raiders, the Packers are 14-point favorites at home against the Cardinals, and the Rams are 10-point favorites on the road against the Lions. Double-digit lines, especially with the road team favored, tend to make me avoid the game. And that’s true of all of the games listed thus far in this paragraph. But I like the Seahawks as 10-point favorites over the visiting 49ers. The Seahawks have been playing well, the game is meaningful to them in the playoff race and they’re playing at home, where they’re particularly tough. Furthermore, the 49ers are bad. That’s why the Seahawks are my best bet.

There aren’t many other games I feel strongly about this week. The Texans (-6) over the visiting Browns is the only other game in which I feel confident of my pick, but I put three other games in my “other top picks” to fulfill my “obligations.”

Here are my Week 13 selections:

(Home team in CAPS) 

(Winning team against the line in bold)

Saints -7½ at COWBOYS

Colts -4 at JAGUARS  

STEELERS -3½ vs. Chargers

Panthers -3½ at BUCS

FALCONS pick ‘em vs. Ravens

TEXANS -6 vs. Browns

DOLPHINS -5 vs. Bills

Bears -4½ at GIANTS

Broncos -4½ at BENGALS

LIONS +10 vs. Rams

PACKERS -14 vs. Cardinals

Chiefs -15 at RAIDERS

Jets +9 at TITANS

Vikings +5½ at PATRIOTS

SEAHAWKS -10 vs. 49ers

Redskins +6½ at EAGLES

Best bet: SEAHAWKS -10 vs. 49ers

Other top picks: TEXANS -6 vs. Browns; Panthers -3½ at BUCS; DOLPHINS -5 vs. Bills; Redskins +6½ at EAGLES

Last week: 8-7 (75-80-8 this season)

Best Bet: 0-1 (6-5 this season)

Other top picks: 2-2 (22-20-2 this season)

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