Points by Ben Simmons during Game 3 victory over Nets

Putting it on the Line

Posted by Eric Fisher On October 4

There are five games with 3-point lines this week. Those are games that could go either way. In fact, I switched my pick on the Ravens-Browns game twice and was tempted to do so for some other games with 3-point lines. Obviously, I don’t have enough confidence in any of those picks to make them one of my top selections.

Instead, I went in the other direction. I selected the Patriots (-10½) over the Colts as my “best bet.” The Colts won’t have much time to forget about an overtime loss at home. The short week for Thursday night games usually favors the home team. The Colts have suffered narrow losses the past two weeks, but the Patriots seemed to hit their stride last Sunday against the Dolphins. I like the Patriots to win by a wide margin.

I went with the next two largest lines for two of my “other top picks.” I like the Chargers (-7) against the Raiders and the Rams (-7) over the host Seahawks. It’s difficult to imagine picking against the Seahawks as 7-point home underdogs, but they lost several key defensive players within the past week, including safety Earl Thomas to a leg injury and former Eagles linebacker Mychal Kendricks to suspension.

I also like the Saints (-6½) over the visiting Redskins on Monday Night Football, so the four biggest lines are among my top five selections this Sunday.

As for the Eagles (-3), I’m leaning toward the Vikings, who seem as if they’re constructed to take advantage of the absence of safety Rodney McLeod.

Look for a big rebound with my Week 5 selections:

(Home team in CAPS)                                           

(Winning team against the line in bold)

PATRIOTS -10½ vs. Colts  

Ravens -3 at BROWNS

CHIEFS -3 vs. Jaguars

BILLS +5 vs. Titans

Giants +6 at PANTHERS

Broncos pick ‘em at JETS

Falcons +3 at STEELERS

LIONS pick ‘em vs. Packers

Dolphins +5½ at BENGALS

CHARGERS -7 vs. Raiders

49ERS -4 vs. Cardinals

Vikings +3 at EAGLES

Rams -7 at SEAHAWKS

Cowboys +3 at TEXANS

SAINTS -6½ vs. Redskins

Best bet: PATRIOTS -10½ vs. Colts  

Other top picks: CHARGERS -7 vs. Raiders; Rams -7 at SEAHAWKS; SAINTS -6½ vs. Redskins; 49ERS -4 vs. Cardinals

Last week: 5-7-3 (23-35-5 this season)

Best Bet: 0-1 (2-2 this season)

Other top picks: 2-2 (6-8-2 this season)

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