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Putting it on the Line

Posted by Eric Fisher On October 9

WEEK 6

This is a week full of tight lines. As of Tuesday, which is when I must make my selections each week due to Thursday Night Football, only one game – Falcons -8½ over the visiting Raiders – has a point spread greater than five points . Naturally, the Falcons are my “best bet” this week.

With so many games expected to be close, I think the Falcons are one of the few sure winners on the board this week – or as sure as we can get in the NFL these days. That’s without taking the point spread into account.

I also like some of the small home favorites. In particular, I like the Jets (-3) over the Colts, the Ravens (-3½) over the Cowboys, and the Redskins (-1½) over the Vikings. The Bucs (-3½) over the visiting Chiefs almost made it into my top five.

I’m not just going with home cooking, though. I like seven road teams, although I only like one of them enough to pull the trigger and put it in my “other top picks.” After getting the Bengals (-3½ over the visiting Dolphins) wrong last week for the first time this season, I’m going to reluctantly select them (-2½) at Cleveland in the final game of the easy portion of their schedule. The Bengals’ schedule becomes much more difficult during their final 10 games.

I think the Eagles (-4½) might finally break loose with a comfortable win against the visiting Lions, but it’s difficult to be confident about a spread that large for a team that has had four of its five games decided by two or fewer points. My recommendation would be to stay away from Eagles-Lions.

The following are my complete Week 6 selections:

(Home team in CAPS)

(Winning team against the line in bold)

Steelers -5 at TITANS

Bengals -2½ at BROWNS

JETS -3 vs. Colts

BUCS -3½ vs. Chiefs

FALCONS -8½ vs. Raiders

RAVENS -3½ vs. Cowboys

Lions +4½ at EAGLES

Rams +3½ at DOLPHINS

Patriots -3½ at SEAHAWKS

Bills +4½ at CARDINALS

REDSKINS +1½ vs. Vikings

49ERS -5 vs. Giants

Packers +4 at TEXANS

Broncos -2 at CHARGERS

Best bet: FALCONS -8½ vs. Raiders

Other top picks: Bengals -2½ at BROWNS; JETS -3 vs. Colts; RAVENS -3½ vs. Cowboys; REDSKINS -1½ vs. Vikings

LAST WEEK

Overall: 8-6 (37-37-2 overall)

Best bet: 0-1 (2-3 overall)

Other top picks: 2-2 (10-8-2 this season)



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