Logic is locked out
The NHL and NFL are both engaged in lockouts that could damage their leagues. Damage is being done to the integrity of this NFL season. Games could be won or lost due to the use of replacement referees. Consequently, so could playoff berths.
The damage to the NHL could be far worse. The lockout of the players, particularly if it lasts a long time, threatens to damage a league that has been on the upswing in recent years.
In neither case, however, does there seem to be a sense of urgency.
It’s not as if the deadline surprised anyone. The NFL knew the officials’ contract was expiring. The NHL has had September 15 circled on its calendar as the end of the collective bargaining agreement (CBA) its team owners have wanted relief from for a long time.
Despite having ample time, the two sides aren’t anywhere close to an agreement in either dispute. To say that negotiations have moved at a snail’s pace is a slight to snails.
An NFL Network report says the two sides met this week, but are “too far apart” for any serious discussion to take place. Keep in mind that NFL officials have been locked out since June. Does anyone realize that it’s the third week of the season?
I’ll tell you who realizes it’s the third week of the season: the players and fans. We don’t need to delve into detail, as I did in my most recent Fish ‘n Chips column, but suffice it to say that anyone who witnessed the recent Eagles-Ravens or Broncos-Falcons debacles understands why the NFL needs its officials back as soon as possible.
NFL fans have witnessed a team given an extra down in a close game (Seahawks-Cardinals), two two-minute warnings during the same half (Eagles-Ravens) and a team being given 6 extra yards on a penalty during a scoring drive (Broncos-Falcons). This list doesn’t include the countless delays caused by incorrect spotting of the ball after plays, particularly those that involve penalties.
The list also doesn’t include inconsistent officiating. It was understandable when Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco complained about an offensive pass interference call that wiped out what would have been the Ravens’ only second-half touchdown against the Eagles. Defensive backs had been given the leeway to do everything short of mugging receivers running their patterns without drawing a flag. All of a sudden, a receiver was being called for pass interference, wiping out a touchdown.
No wonder Ravens fans were angry. Eagles fans would have been equally livid if the roles were reversed.
The replacement officials have also lost control of several games, including the Eagles-Ravens game. But don’t worry. The NFL has sprung into action. No, the NFL didn’t make a substantially better offer to its officials. Instead, it warned teams against “unacceptable behavior.” Fines and suspensions were threatened for those who don’t “respect the game.”
The NHL lockout hasn’t made a major impact. Not yet. Wiping out a handful of preseason games isn’t going to upset many fans. When the regular-season games in October start to be canceled, the lockout’s impact will be felt.
Players will feel the impact because they will start to miss paychecks, which are supposed to start arriving on October 15. Fans will feel the impact because they will start to miss games, both on television and in person.
The NHL owners are convinced they need to reduce the players’ share of hockey-related revenue in order to protect the medium- and small-market teams. The CBA that recently expired set the players’ share of that revenue at 57 percent. Both sides agree the players’ share will be reduced in a new CBA. The question is by how much.
The final number is likely to be between 48 and 52 percent. As recently as a few weeks ago, the owners made a proposal for players to get 43 percent of the revenue, a 14 percent decrease from the last CBA. The owners have raised that percentage, but they envision that percentage declining over the life of the CBA. By contrast, the players’ proposal initially drops their share of revenue – but not as far as the owners’ proposal – then envisions that percentage growing if the NHL’s revenue continues to increase.
In other words, the owners and players can’t agree on a starting point for the players’ percentage of revenue-sharing, and then they move in opposite directions during the life of the CBA. No wonder players are signing contracts to play overseas in droves. They’re not confident this lockout is going to end any time soon.
NHL commissioner Gary Bettman has expressed confidence that NHL fans will return after the lockout. Bettman would be wise not to count his revenue chickens before they hatch.
Yes, it’s unlikely teams such as the Flyers and Rangers will take a significant attendance hit. But in newer, smaller hockey markets, a long lockout may do damage that will take years to repair. The irony is that the teams the owners are purportedly trying to protect with their hardline position and subsequent lockout are exactly the teams that will be hurt the most by a prolonged lockout.
Each day of the NFL and NHL lockouts damages their respective sports. Each day of the lockout will become increasingly upset fans.
Judging by the actions of all sides involved, particularly the owners, there doesn’t seem to be any sense of urgency. The deadlines have come and gone, and the sides are still further apart than Mitt Romney and President Obama would be if they were invited to the same dinner party.
But don’t worry. There’s no rush.
There’s not a lot at stake in these lockouts – unless you consider the integrity and health of your league to be important.





Ron Opher Says:
Eric-
You are absolutely correct that people in Nashville, Phoenix, Florida, Dallas, Columbus and other markets will find something else to do during the lockout and maybe also find out they don’t miss hockey that much.
Last time when a whole season went by the boards, I blamed the players for digging in and not accepting any kind of a salary cap – a shortsighted move that cost a whole season and ended up with a cap anyway.
The owners need lower floor salary amounts to not be forced to lose double-digit millions of dollars per season in markets where the revenue simply can’t meet that floor amount. The floor amount has driven up salaries on mediocre players, while the stars are a relative bargain.
When the difference between Matt Carle and Shea Weber is about $2 million per season, something has gotten out of whack.
But some of the other things the owners want, they will simply not get – like a 10-year wait for a player to be a free agent or a 43% figure to the players (which is a 25% pay cut). There has also been talk of salary rollbacks on existing contracts.
I don’t understand why the sides – especially the owners – are doing more posturing than good faith negotiating. It seems like the players know there will be some givebacks and are prepared to live with that, but the owners are pushing a CBA that is not C, does not involve any B (Bettman’s “take it or leave it” statement complete with the notion that once rejected, the offer won’t come back on the table is patently ridiculous) and will not lead to an A.
What both sides fail to realize is that the world economy still stinks. This is not eight years ago anymore. Fans will miss hockey, but season ticket holders won’t miss shelling out several thousand dollars for tickets.
A lot of people other than the players will lose jobs they count on. Arena workers, administrative staff and others who serve in a supportive role will be laid off or lose hours.
The sides should be able to get to a deal a lot quicker than they seem to be moving now.
Let’s see whose solidarity and resolve crumbles first. My guess, as I’ve stated on our radio show, is that the entry-level players will be sold down the river – just as in other sports. When that will happen is anyone’s guess.
Posted on September 20th, 2012 at 11:24 pm
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[...] Logic is locked out (9/20/12) [...]
Posted on September 21st, 2012 at 8:04 pm
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[...] Logic is locked out (9/20/12) [...]
Posted on September 21st, 2012 at 8:19 pm
Eric Fisher Says:
If the owners get a deal closer to what the small-market teams want, yet damage the fan base in those markets by having a lockout, what will they truly have gained?
Posted on September 22nd, 2012 at 9:09 am
Ron Opher Says:
You’re correct that getting better terms but starting nearer to square one in non-traditional hockey markets is a catch-22 – but clearly one that the owners are willing to roll the dice on.
I still think the players will sell future rookies down the river to get a deal done. While it is possible that the small market owners will reach their pain point sooner than the players (or at the same time), you are suggesting that they worry about the aftermath with the fans as part of their bargaining choices, and I suggest they will do little worrying about the fans when they bleed double-digit millions of red ink every year.
In the end, the fans (or at least the vast majority of them) always come back.
The bus that you feel may be heading over the cliff has small market teams behind the wheel. Which is somewhat unusual, since Original 6, the Flyers and the Canadian teams tend to occupy the decision-making seats normally.
Unless the old guard says enough is enough, we are in for a very long battle. And if the old guard breaks ranks, some small market teams may file for bankruptcy and try to void contracts to their players, touching off chaos not seen since WHA days.
P.S. Kudos to the NHL for its huge fine on the Red Wings for Jim Devellano’s ridiculous statements comparing non-owner employees in this dispute to “cattle.” As I said above, “a lot of people other than the players will lose jobs they count on. Arena workers, administrative staff and others who serve in a supportive role will be laid off or lose hours.”
Some owners care more about that fact than others.
Detroit…Hockeytown? More like Schlockeytown.
Posted on September 24th, 2012 at 1:13 pm
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[...] OF URGENCY: I’ve written previous columns about my frustration that there seemed to be no sense of urgency in the NFL and NHL labor [...]
Posted on October 4th, 2012 at 8:41 pm
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Posted on October 31st, 2012 at 11:55 am
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Posted on October 31st, 2012 at 12:21 pm