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Week 2: 11-5, 3-1 on recommended picks
Overall: 20-12 (63%), 6-2 on recommended picks (75%)

That was better – and yet bitterly disappointing.

Yes, 11-5 sure beats 9-7. And another 3-1 week on recommended picks is certainly fine by me.

But when my top recommended pick goes up in flames for the second week in a row, I can’t blame you for lacking confidence in my picks.

Never mind that many people went down with the Patriots over the Cardinals. If I could steer you away from the Cowboys (which I did), I should have been able to warn you against New England.

But I didn’t see it coming.

Maybe you need to skip over the first of my four picks this weekend, too?

1. 49ers over Vikings

San Francisco was my pick to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Nothing I’ve seen so far changes my opinion.

Minnesota was my pick to finish with the worst record in the NFC. Yes, they are 1-1 – but that’s because they drew the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1.

The Niners will look superhuman compared to the Jags and the Colts (who were the Vikings’ opponent this past week) – expect them to crush Minnesota, even on the road.

2. Steelers over Raiders

If you choose to skip the first pick, maybe you’ll like this one.

The Raiders look pretty bad so far. The Steelers still don’t look like they’re in top form…but they have a chance to take over first place in the AFC North this week, with Baltimore and Cincinnati both having tough games.

While I don’t tend to do as well on he late games as I do at 1:00pm, and while only the worst of teams start out 0-3 on a season, I feel pretty confident that the Steelers will win on the road – even if they don’t win big.

3. Cowboys over Buccaneers

Picking the Giants at home, coming off a loss, over Tampa Bay worked for me last week – so I will go to the well again picking Dallas – who lost badly at Seattle – to rebound at the expense of the Bucs.

Tampa Bay looks better than I though they would this season, but I still think the NFL’s ebb and flow points to a Cowboys win.

4. Colts over Jaguars

I know Indianapolis beat a lousy Vikings team last week. It’s hard to see the Colts emerging with a winning record after three weeks.

But they don’t make the schedule – they just play it.

Jacksonville is even worse than Minnesota (and they proved it in week 1). Their best player (Maurice Jones-Drew) was a contract holdout and is a running back on a team that will rarely have a lead this season.

Talk about a waste.

Other week 3 picks:

NYG over CAR
BUF over CLE
NYJ over MIA
NO over KC
WASH over CIN
CHI over STL
DET over TEN
SD over ATL
PHI over AZ
HOU over DEN
BAL over NE
GB over SEA

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